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Safety Score Methodology

Our Safety Score is a 0–10 percentile-based measure of reported crime risk in a postcode, calculated from Police.uk street-level data aggregated at LSOA level with national decile ranking.

Data Source

  • Police.uk Crime Data — Police-recorded crimes by street reported publicly by UK police forces
  • Update Frequency — Monthly, published on the first Friday of each month
  • Geographic Unit — Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) — approximately 1,500 residents per area

Calculation Method

  1. Match postcode to LSOA — We geolocate each postcode's centroid to its parent Lower Super Output Area (LSOA)
  2. Sum crimes per LSOA — We aggregate all police-recorded crimes in the LSOA for the most recent 12-month rolling period
  3. Calculate national percentile — We rank each LSOA against all ~32,800 LSOAs in the UK by total crime count
  4. Convert to 0–10 score — We map the percentile rank to a 0–10 scale where 10 = safest (0th percentile, lowest crime) and 0 = highest crime risk (100th percentile)
  5. Cache for performance — Scores are cached monthly after Police.uk updates

Percentile Scoring

The Safety Score is a percentile rank, not a raw count. This means:

  • A score of 9/10 means the postcode's LSOA is in the safest 10% of the UK
  • A score of 5/10 means it's near the national average
  • A score of 1/10 means it's in the 90th percentile for crime (higher crime than 90% of the country)

Why Percentiles?

We use percentiles because raw crime counts vary dramatically by population. A city LSOA with 30,000 residents might record 200 crimes; a rural LSOA with 1,500 residents might record 8. Percentile ranking makes scores comparable across urban and rural areas.

Limitations

  • Reported Crime Only — We measure police-recorded crimes, not all crime. Reporting varies by police force and population behavior.
  • LSOA-level Aggregation — Your postcode shares its score with all postcodes in the same LSOA (~600 postcodes per LSOA). Street-level variation exists but is not reflected.
  • 12-month Lag — Data is published with a 2–4 week lag. Very recent crime is not captured.
  • Crime Type Mix — The score combines all crime types (theft, assault, vehicle crime, antisocial behavior, etc.). It doesn't differentiate.

Interpretation

ScoreMeaning
8–10Safest 20% nationally
6–7Above-average safety
4–5Near national average
2–3Below-average safety
0–1Highest crime risk nationally

Data Attribution

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0, sourced from Police.uk.

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